How the model works, what to trust most, and where it stays deliberately approximate.
This page explains the logic behind the public guide for a critical practitioner. It separates official references, literature-informed logic and model-specific calibration so the tool does not pretend to be more exact than it is.
benchmark house · different standardssurrogate model, not PHPPpublic explainer, not legal APE
What this page covers
Use this as a route map first. Each section answers one expert question without turning into a generic whitepaper.
The public guide uses a deliberately compact concept-stage energy model for sensitivity reading. It is not a formal compliance engine. In the main preset row, the benchmark stays fixed: the same 140 m² house, the same north Lake Como climate, the same two-storey massing, the same compactness and the same solar-access base. The central question is simple: if that benchmark house stays fixed, how do construction standard, glazing logic, ventilation, shading and systems shift winter demand, summer risk and operating pressure?
Appropriate use
early design comparison of the same house in different standards
showing why the same floor area behaves differently in winter and summer
communicating compactness, A/V, glazing distribution and shading effects
pre-design conversations with non-experts
Inappropriate use
Passive House certification or EnerPHit verification
legal APE / EPC issuance
HVAC sizing or system procurement
contract-level bill prediction or payback claims
Working principle
preserve the right direction of influence before chasing fake precision
admit heuristics where necessary instead of hiding them behind one opaque score
give each output its own confidence level
Critical-reader note: if this page is read as compressed PHPP, the criticism will be justified. Monthly balance, explicit thermal bridge inputs, certified component data, legal APE reference-building logic and detailed schedules are not present here.
2. Sources & data classes
Which inputs come from official references, which come from literature, and which are calibrated for this model
The cleanest way to read the tool is to separate official references, literature-informed simplifications and model-specific calibration. Much of the actual numeric layer belongs to the last two categories, not the first.
Class
What we take from it
How it enters the model
Confidence
A / PHI
output families, Passive House target values, terminology, core losses-versus-gains logic
reference framework only; not a direct PHPP workbook implementation
high for framing
A / ENEA + SIAPE
what APE is, how the A4-G language is used in Italy, and why legal APE is reference-building based
used to frame the public APE-like output honestly, not to compute a legal certificate
high for context
A / ECB + ARERA
currency context and editorial energy-price snapshots for the public-facing money layer
presentation and translation layer only
high for source transparency
B / architectural research
relative influence of form, compactness, orientation, glazing and shading
used for directional weighting, not blind numerical transcription
medium
C / model-specific calibration
surrogate U-values, system efficiencies, market bands, benchmark-house construction archetypes and operating cost assumptions
this is where the public explainer becomes model-specific rather than source-specific
low to medium
The important honesty point is simple: the money layer, the APE-like ladder and several coefficients are calibrated public explainer inputs. They are not official datasets and should not be presented that way.
3. Calculation pipeline
From sliders to geometry, then to winter balance, summer pressure, delivered energy and narrative outputs
Inputs are normalized first, then converted into idealized geometry, surrogate envelope values, winter losses, winter gains, summer pressure, delivered energy, primary energy, PV effect and finally into readable outputs.
3.1 Geometry and A/V
The massing is intentionally idealized into a box-like volume. Here area means total conditioned floor area of the whole house, not the area of one storey. Storeys therefore change footprint, compactness changes aspect ratio, and the envelope area follows from that.
Each facade carries its own glazing share. This is materially better than a single orientation slider, but still not a full solar-geometry model. In the main preset row, the non-passive presets intentionally keep the same benchmark glazing logic; the Passive preset uses one explicit exception with a slightly more south-biased glazing mix on the same benchmark house.
north/east/south/west glazing = 0..60% of facade
windowAreaBySide = facadeAreaBySide * glazingRatio
orientation key = derived from windowShares
3.3 Envelope surrogates
The model does not calculate actual constructions. User-facing sliders are mapped onto surrogate U-values.
The winter balance follows the right conceptual structure: transmission plus ventilation losses against internal and solar gains. Climate is reduced to an HDD-like scalar.
Annual heating demand is one of the strongest outputs in the model. It is also the quantity that sits closest to the classic Passive House heating criterion: about 15 kWh/(m²a) of annual space-heating demand. That is not total delivered energy, not hot water, not appliances and not primary energy. The current public version also adds a calibrated legacy fabric tail correction for the very weak historic end of the range, because the simple slider-based U-value surrogates alone tended to understate how brutal the worst legacy masonry cases feel in practice. Peak heat load is useful as communication, but already more heuristic than the annual balance.
In short: the model keeps the right chain of causality, but compresses many detailed worksheets into one surrogate layer.
4. Confidence by output
Which outputs deserve more confidence, and which should be treated as translation layers
The tool is strongest where relative design sensitivity matters and weakest where compliance-grade precision would normally need much richer inputs.
Output
How much to trust it
Best use
Main weakness
Annual heating demand [kWh/(m²a)]
medium
comparing envelope, windows, airtightness, orientation and compactness
surrogate U-values and climate simplification, plus a calibrated legacy-tail correction for the weakest historic envelope edge
Peak heat load [W/m²]
low to medium
communicating how hard the house wants to be heated in cold peaks
not a PHPP heat-load worksheet and not HVAC sizing
Summer hours outside comfort [%]
low to medium
showing that glazing distribution and shading can flip the summer result
summer layer is heavily simplified
APE-like A4-G label
low
market-facing explanation for the Italian context
not a legal APE workflow
Monthly bill translation
low
turning technical outputs into something non-experts can picture
not a tariff quote, not a behavioural model, not a supplier calculation
One model-specific detail is worth stating explicitly: the annual heating-demand output now includes a calibrated legacy fabric tail penalty for the very weak historic end of the range. This keeps modern and mid-tier presets stable, but stops the worst legacy masonry archetypes from reading too softly. A second honesty point matters just as much: a Passive-House-level shell can still show a much higher operational or primary-energy figure if domestic hot water, appliances, cooling and a weak system are added on top.
The strongest question this tool can answer is: if I keep the same house size and climate, which design moves change winter demand, summer risk and operating pressure the most, and in what direction?
5. Close to PHPP logic
Where the model tracks the right Passive House logic well
This is the part that gives the guide genuine explanatory value rather than random sliders and random numbers.
It follows the right families of questions
heating demand
heat load
summer comfort risk
primary and renewable layers
It keeps the right causality
losses versus gains instead of one opaque score
real weight for compactness, A/V, glazing orientation, airtightness and shading
strongest exactly where a concept-stage explainer should be strongest: relative sensitivity of the same house
6. Divergence
Where it diverges materially from PHPP or legal APE
These are not edge cases. They are the deliberate places where a public explainer chooses legibility over formal completeness.
Area
PHPP / legal reality
Our simplification
Practical consequence
Climate
specific climate datasets and solar inputs
one climate slider mapped into HDD-like and summer-pressure scalars
absolute numbers are calibration-sensitive
Envelope
real constructions and component values
slider-based surrogate U-values plus a calibrated weak-tail correction for legacy masonry
good direction, weaker construction-specific accuracy
hourly or more detailed logic behind overheating criteria
summer pressure proxy
summer output must be read carefully
APE
Italian legal methodology using a reference-building framework
market-facing APE-like translation
useful communication, not legal validity
7. Limits & uncertainty
Known limitations that should be stated explicitly
The tool is more trustworthy when these limits are said out loud than when they are softened away.
the climate slider is the coarsest simplification in the whole model
the APE-like layer is intentionally not a legal APE engine
energy prices are editorial snapshots for communication, not live tariffs
the Passive House 15 kWh/(m²a) threshold used in the guide refers to annual space-heating demand, not to total delivered or primary energy
system efficiencies are archetypal, not product-specific
the main preset row is one fixed benchmark house read through different construction standards, not a statistical sample of the Lake Como housing stock
the Passive preset keeps the same benchmark house and climate, but uses one explicit south-biased glazing exception
summer discomfort percentages are more fragile than winter demand trends
the Plus house bonus preset deliberately overrides the top helper from winter demand to annual net balance after PV so a negative annual value can be shown as a teaching device
the Summer risk bonus preset keeps the top helper on winter demand; its real payload is the overheating layer below
If someone needs certified Passive House evidence, a legal Italian APE, thermal bridge detail decisions or HVAC sizing, the correct next step is a proper PHPP / compliance / engineering workflow, not a harder reading of this explainer.
8. References
Reference list
These are the public references that frame the model, the Italian market context and the architectural research layer.
Keček, David. Vliv architektonického konceptu na potřebu tepla na vytápění energeticky úsporných budov pro bydlení [doctoral dissertation]. Brno: Vysoké učení technické v Brně, Fakulta architektury. Available at: dspace.vut.cz/items/ea2121ea-65dd-45a8-b9ae-dd2abd0209fc
Where this page says model-specific calibration or surrogate, it means exactly that. Those areas are deliberate simplifications, not hidden official engines.